The Plausibility of Future Scenarios

Conceptualising an Unexplored Criterion in Scenario Planning

What does plausibility mean in relation to scenario planning and how do users of scenarios assess it? Despite the concept's ubiquity, its epistemological and empirical foundations remain unexplored in previous research.

Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele offers an interdisciplinary perspective: she presents approaches from philosophy of sciences, cognitive psychology, narrative theory and linguistics, and tests key hypotheses in an experimental study. A conceptual map lays out indicators for scenario plausibility and explains how assessments vary across scenario methods. This helps researchers and practitioners to better understand the implications of their methodological choices in scenario development.

46,99 € *

2. Juli 2020, 264 Seiten
ISBN: 978-3-8394-5319-3
Dateigröße: 7.95 MB

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Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele

Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele, Universität Stuttgart, Deutschland

Autor_in(nen)
Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele
Buchtitel
The Plausibility of Future Scenarios Conceptualising an Unexplored Criterion in Scenario Planning
Verlag
transcript Verlag
Seitenanzahl
264
Ausstattung
1 Farbabbildung, 33 SW-Abbildungen
ISBN
978-3-8394-5319-3
DOI
10.14361/9783839453193
Warengruppe
1724
BIC-Code
PDR RNT
BISAC-Code
SOC026000 SCI075000 TEC052000
THEMA-Code
PDR RNT
Erscheinungsdatum
2. Juli 2020
Themen
Gesellschaft, Wissenschaft
Adressaten
Sociology, Science and Technology Studies, Sustainability Sciences, Technology Assessment, Energy Systems Modelling, Futures Studies, Philosophy of Sciences, Cognitive Psychology, Interdisciplinary Research
Schlagworte
Scenario Planning, Scenarios, Foresight, Plausibility, Epistemology, Future Studies, Science, Society, Sociology of Science, Sociology of Technology, Environmental Sociology, Sustainability, Sociology

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